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Will the surprise repeat?

Mr. Morrison became Prime Minister of Australia in 2018 after an “internal coup” of the Liberal party and was unexpectedly elected in the election. Congress voting in 2019, although all opinion polls in Australia show that Mr Morrison’s political wing is sure to lose to the opposition Labor Party.

Will the surprise repeat?  - 1 . photo

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison

Since the middle of last year, Mr Morrison’s ruling Liberal-National conservative coalition has consistently trailed the Australian Labor Party in the results of every opinion poll in this country. And Mr Morrison and his conservative coalition now expect a surprise repeat of 2019.

This scenario cannot be ruled out, but the current socio-political landscape in Australia is fundamentally different from that of 2019. At that time, Australian voters Not much is known about Mr. Morrison’s governing capacity. Voters have now clearly seen Mr. Morrison’s abilities and limitations as well as the direction of the conservative coalition.

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In addition, the Australian Labor Party also has a campaign strategy and tactics that focus mainly on the most urgent domestic issues of concern to voters such as the cost of living, petrol, health care and children increase while income does not increase.

Disadvantage for Mr. Morrison The results achieved in the fight against the epidemic are still not enough for voters to believe in the government’s countermeasures. In such a general mood, the results of Mr. Morrison’s rule on foreign affairs and security are like dealing with China, fighting climate change or security alliances with the US and UK, promoting free trade with Japan and India have not really made a breakthrough. So now, no one is sure that the old surprise will repeat.

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