There will be more than 10 million infections a month if China does not implement Zero COVID-19

China could face more than 10 million infections and about 44,000 deaths from COVID-19 over the past 1 month if it did not implement Zero COVID-19.

According to China News, China’s National Health Commission on April 13 announced that the country recorded an additional 1,500 cases of COVID-19 and 26,420 asymptomatic infections in the past 24 hours.

In particular, the city of Shanghai, the hottest spot in this outbreak in China, reported 1,189 COVID-19 infections and 25,141 asymptomatic infections.

The anti-epidemic blockade fence was erected in Shanghai city. Photo: Reuters

China is dealing with its worst COVID-19 outbreak since the pandemic broke out. Local officials believe that the BA.2 subtype of the Omicron variant is the main cause.

The People’s Daily reported that from March 1 to April 11, 2022, Shanghai and Jilin province were the two regions that recorded the highest number of COVID-19 infections in this outbreak in China, with 228,266 respectively. and 67,709 confirmed cases (including asymptomatic cases).

The epidemic forecasting team of Lanzhou University on April 11 published the latest prediction results showing that this outbreak of COVID-19 in China is likely to be under control by next May.

The forecast system indicates that the Shanghai epidemic is expected to be under control around May 3, 2022, with an estimated cumulative infection level of 301,740 people.

The number of infected people in this outbreak in Shanghai is forecast to drop to less than 1,000 people, 100 people and 10 people on April 21, April 25 and April 29, respectively.

Lanzhou University’s new crown epidemic forecasting group said.

Also according to the forecasting team of Lanzhou University, after simulating the development scale of the epidemic, if China fails to control or relax epidemic prevention measures, the country of billions of people may face about 10 million people. .24 million infections and 44,000 deaths from COVID-19 within 1 month.

China is one of the few countries that persists in pursuing the “Zero COVID-19” (No COVID-19) policy. However, from December 2021, the country has transitioned to a state of “dynamic zero COVID-19”, with a fast and flexible epidemic prevention and control method depending on the situation, characteristics and conditions of each place.

Lanzhou University’s forecasting team emphasized that the current epidemic prevention and control policy has helped China prevent tens of millions of people from being infected.