Christopher Preble, co-director of the Atlantic Council’s New American Interoperability Initiative, said adding new members would not necessarily improve the alliance’s performance. Because if any of the members disagree, for example, about the best way to deal with a certain threat, that could hinder or delay NATO timely response.
Sumatra Maitra, a scholar at the Center for National Interest, opposes the idea that the conflict in Ukraine shows that it is imperative for Sweden and Finland to join NATO.
According to Maitra, the current reality is that Russia has not yet controlled the Donbass region of Ukraine and the possibility of conquering the capital Kiev or all of Ukraine is low, so it will be difficult to threaten the rest of Europe.
This researcher believes that Europe is completely capable of balancing with Russia, and this is the time for the US to reduce its commitment to Europe’s security, instead of increasing it, so that it can shift to focus more deal with China.
The researchers think that the joining of these two countries to NATO is surprising, because so far Sweden and Finland have still used their advantages very well as the destination of reconciliation and compromise for the parties. .
Some believe this move will force Russia to act on its 800-mile border with Finland, as it is a public and forceful denial of the terms of the Treaty of Amity between Helsinki and Finland. Moscow since 1992.
If Sweden and Finland do not take into account Russia’s angry reaction, then NATO, especially the two biggest cheerleaders Germany and the United States, does not seem to think about the possibility that this step will create an opportunity for Russia to reveal NATO’s Achilles heel, as Article 5 of the Charter states that “an attack on one member state is also an attack on the alliance”.
Former French President Charles de Gaulle knew all too well that this guarantee was meaningless if the United States was not prepared to sacrifice New York or Chicago to save Paris if nuclear war broke out.
Preble believes that Finland’s accession to NATO will lead to the practical requirement to protect its very long border with Russia, which in turn will potentially cost the US taxpayer even more money.
There is also the question of consensus such as Article 10 of the NATO Charter when admitting new members. Turkey and Hungary both expressed hesitation this time.
According to Maitra, while not yet making a decision, those countries are cautious enough to know what they might get in return.
“The decision to admit Finland and Sweden has been made, and history will show that it would be folly for the US to add more commitments to Europe when it should have been less, given the inflation and the Balkans. culture, and an increasingly powerful competitor in Asia,” said Maitra.
According to AT
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