According to expert Thomas Jäger, professor of international politics and foreign policy at the University of Cologne (Germany), the German Ministry of Defense is leaving a blank on security policy in matters related to hostilities. Russia-Ukraine, but RussiaEven within the Western defense alliance, there are disagreements about how to deal with Russia during and especially after the war in Ukraine.
According to former German General Roland Kather, Ukraine is in dire need of heavy weapons, the only thing that will help them against Russia at the moment: “Heavy weapons like the many rocket launchers that President Volodymyr Zelenskyj loved The request again from Ukraine’s partners on May 29, could also help Ukraine in a possible turning point in the Donbass.In other words, they can stop Russia with multiple rocket launchers within range up up to 90 km. In addition to the military element, missile launches also provide a psychological advantage. With only firing twelve rockets in a minute, that also leaves a huge impression, and cause mental inhibitions of the opponent”. And all eyes are on the Federal government’s ‘delivery’ or ‘delivery’ move.
The special restrictions in the German security discussion on the request to transfer heavy weapons to Ukraine did not work. Russiay from the beginning. It shows the ‘inability’ to provide a core overview as well as future security policy planning during and after the Russia-Ukraine war which can be said to be a ‘turning point’ after 16 years. year of stagnation as Federal Chancellor Scholz stated.
The transfer of heavy weapons to Ukraine, despite being warned by Chancellor Scholz as most likely the path to a future nuclear dispute, was ultimately approved by the German Bundestag. But since then, there have been excuse after reason as to why the delivery is pending, or delayed, but not specifically justified. This only shows the ‘ambiguous’ attitude, not immediately clear in Germany’s security policy.
What is the purpose of the war in Ukraine that the Federal Government and its partners want to support and what is the limit of their willingness to help? Are the EU countries pursuing the same goals here?
The desire to become a neutral state, which Zelenskyj has also repeatedly discussed publicly, will be opposed to joining the EU, NATO. Ukraine believes that joining NATO “does not affect Russia’s security”. Meanwhile, NATO is quite cautious about the prospect of Ukraine joining this organization. Because if so, the member countries risk having to participate in direct confrontation with Russia.
Germany, France and Italy wanted the war to end as quickly as possible. Although Chancellor Scholz always pointed out that Putin must not win this war, he did not give a reason or a way for it. This will lead to a serious challenge for Germany’s position in Europe in the future. Germany is a small military power whose political identity since the end of the Cold War has been to refuse to go to war. All three countries believe that relations with Russia will have to be re-established after the war because it is an important neighbor and cannot be isolated for long. But that means getting back to business and working together in international organizations like a group of countries in multilateral cooperation. This is ‘necessary’ because at the beginning of 2022, the future of Europe seems to be in the hands of Germany and Russia. However, the war in Ukraine has changed the geopolitical map of the old continent.
The Baltic countries and Poland, Britain want to adopt an approach to the war in Ukraine to isolate Russia from control of Europe’s future. This exposes the deep rifts between EU states. Baltic countries and Poland, UK may not cooperate with Russia in the future, but also will not confront. The reason is because the US also wants to reassert its power in Europe, and the above countries also need the approval and material support from the US for the restructuring of Europe.
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