Will Vietnam U23 fall into a tragedy like Italy at EURO 2004?

U23 Vietnam is on the way to the quarterfinals at the tournament U23 Asia 2022. After 2 matches, U23 Vietnam has 2 points with a difference of 0, while U23 Thailand and U23 Korea have 4 points with a difference of +3.

In the closing match, coach Gong Oh-kyun’s teachers and students will face U23 Malaysia – the team has definitely been eliminated, while U23 Korea and U23 Thailand have to fight for tickets to continue.

The necessary condition for U23 Vietnam to continue is to win against Malaysia U23. At that time, Phan Tuan Tai and his teammates will have 5 points with a goal difference of +1 or more. In the event that the Korean U23 vs Thailand U23 match is won or lost, or the two teams draw with a score of 0-0 or 1-1, U23 Vietnam will continue.

If South Korea U23 draws 2-2 with Thailand U23, U23 Vietnam needs to win against Malaysia U23 with a difference of more than 3 goals, or win by 3 goals but score 5 or more goals (5-2, 6-3), or win with a score of 4-1 but must have a better fair-play score than the opponent (receive fewer yellow cards, red cards) to be able to participate in the quarterfinals.

However, there is still a scenario that makes U23 Vietnam, no matter how many goals win, be eliminated, that is, U23 Korea and U23 Thailand draw with a score of 3-3 or more. At that time, 3 teams will rank the head-to-head difference to determine tickets to go on. Although the same goal difference is 0, but U23 Vietnam is definitely eliminated because it has scored fewer goals than U23 Thailand and U23 Korea.

If U23 Thailand and U23 Korea want to “shake hands” to eliminate U23 Vietnam, the two teams will have to create a 3-3 draw or more.

Video: U23 Vietnam 1-1 U23 Korea

In history, there have been cases where two teams “shake hands” to eliminate the remaining one in the group stage. Such was the case for Denmark, Sweden and Italy in the group stage of Euro 2004.

After 2 matches, Denmark and Sweden got 4 points together, Italy won 2 points after 2 draws against the above 2 opponents, and Bulgaria were eliminated after 2 defeats. Since EURO 2004 counts head-to-head results between teams on points, if Denmark draws with Sweden 2-2 or more, these two teams will go hand in hand, and Italy will be eliminated regardless of their results. with Bulgaria.

As a result, Denmark and Sweden drew with the exact same score, causing Italy to split the tournament bitterly.

The above tragedy can be repeated if in the closing match, U23 Thailand and U23 Korea draw 3-3, causing U23 Vietnam to defeat Malaysia U23 no matter how many goals they have.

In the 2020 Asian U23 tournament, Vietnam U23 also drew 0-0 with U23 UAE and U23 Jordan in the first two rounds, so they were forced to win U23 North Korea in the last match, and hope U23 UAE and Jordan U23 won or lost, or If you don’t draw with a score of 1-1 or more, you will have a ticket to continue.

Coach Park Hang Seo’s team then lost 1-2 against U23 North Korea, but no matter how many goals they won, U23 Vietnam was eliminated. Because in the closing match, U23 UAE and U23 Jordan drew with a score of 1-1.

However, unlike in 2020, the prospect of Korea U23 and Thailand U23 helping each other to continue with a draw with many goals is unlikely. Both teams are more likely to win to decide their own fate.

“Korea U23 will play with 100% ability before Thailand U23. Korea U23 is the defending champion, not to mention full of motivation in the last match, so coach Hwang Sun-hong’s team will beat Thailand U23. At that time, U23 Vietnam won against Malaysia U23, it was their own destiny“, expert Doan Minh Xuong shared.

U23 Vietnam’s job is to win against Malaysia U23. Focusing on the survival match, regardless of external events, is the best way for Gong Oh-kyun’s teachers and students to enter the quarterfinals of the Asian U23 Championship.

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