Can people predict who are at high risk of post-Covid-19 sequelae?

Prolonged Covid-19 or post-Covid-19 sequelae is when symptoms continue for more than 4 weeks.

Research has found that patients who have more than 5 different symptoms in the first week of Covid-19 infection are more susceptible to post-Covid-19 sequelae more, said Dr. Claire Steves, from Kings College London.

Older adults, women, and those with a variety of symptoms during the first week of illness are at greater risk of prolonged Covid-19 Shutterstock

Research Covid symptoms-19 disease, led by Dr Claire Steves and Professor Tim Spector from Kings College London, found that older adults, women and those with a wide range of symptoms within the first week of illness are more at risk of having Covid-19 for a longer time.

Covid-19 patients who experience multiple symptoms such as cough, fatigue, headache, diarrhea and loss of smell at the same time, will be at risk for sequelae. Covid-19 higher than those with only cough.

Especially people over 50 years old and women, people with asthma and pre-existing lung disease are also at higher risk.

Researchers have developed a model that can predict who is at prolonged risk of Covid-19 Shutterstock

Developing a model to predict people at prolonged risk of Covid-19

The researchers used this information to develop a model that can predict who is at risk for Covid-19 lasts based on age, sex and number of symptoms of Covid-19 infection.

Statistical tests have shown that this simple prediction can detect up to 70% of people with post-Covid-19 sequelae – with an accuracy of 73%, according to the report. Expess.

People with prolonged Covid-19 often experience cardiac symptoms such as palpitations or palpitations, as well as pins and needles or numbness and problems with concentration, brain fog, cough, shortness of breath, etc. Prolonged Covid-19 was also twice as likely to return to symptoms after recovery, compared with people without prolonged Covid-19 (16% versus 8.4%).

Overall, the team found that while most people with Covid-19 returned to normal after up to 11 days, about one in seven had Covid-19 symptoms lasting at least four weeks. , with about 1 in 20 people sick for up to 8 weeks and 1 in 50 for longer than 12 weeks.

About 10% of 18-49 year olds infected with Covid-19 have persistent Covid-19 disease, this number increases to 22% in people over 70 years old.

Weight plays an important role, people with indicators BMI A higher average has a higher risk.

Young women have a 50% higher risk of prolonged Covid-19 than men youth (14.5% vs. 9.5%), by Express.