Weather forecast, notable storm forecast summer 2022 in Asia

According to the MK Weather site, there are several key factors that will affect weather forecast in the summer of 2022.

La Nina weakened

During the summer of 2022 there will be a transition from La Nina to El Nino. Due to these phenomena, this summer will see heavy rain in many parts of Asia such as in Southeast Asia, South Asia, southern Arabian Peninsula, parts of East Asia. In particular, in India there will be heavy and irregular rain. In Southeast Asia, La Nina would be associated with the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) and the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO).

The IOD is an oscillating sea surface temperature anomaly in which the western Indian Ocean becomes alternately warmer (positive phase) and then colder (negative phase) than the eastern part. of the ocean.

The MJO oscillation is characterized by eastward progression of large areas of both enhanced and restrained tropical precipitation, observed mainly over the Indian and Pacific Oceans. The unusual rainfall usually occurs first over the western Indian Ocean, and remains apparent as it spreads over the very warm waters of the western and central Pacific Ocean.

Episodes hot will be stronger in central parts of Asia and in Siberia, alternating with severe storms in wetter areas such as Southeast Asia. The risk of floods and landslides is high in parts of Indonesia and Malaysia.

Hot and dry

Hot and dry areas forecast for summer 2022 include Turkey, northwest Middle East, northern Iran, Central Asia, extreme western China, western Mongolia, northern Southeast Asia, northern and central Philippines , and Taiwan (China).

Heat waves can cause death, drought, and wildfires. Summer 2022 will be the next hot year in the northern Middle East and Central Asia, with the addition of hot air masses from the Sahara. Northern Southeast Asia is also hot and dry, probably due to the weakened La Nina morphology and the relatively weaker 2022 storm season.

Heat waves in the Middle East reach 52 degrees Celsius, in Central and Southeast Asia between 40 and 48 degrees Celsius at their peak. In southern Siberia and northern Central Asia, large-scale taiga forest fires are possible.

Hot

Hot temperatures are forecast in the northern Middle East, northeastern Caspian, parts of mainland China, Mongolia, Japan, southern Sri Lanka, Southeast Asia. The humidity in the air is also higher.

Hot and stormy

Heat waves and storms are forecast in the southern Middle East, East Asia, the Korean peninsula, and the southernmost tip of the Philippines. La Nina in Southeast Asia, IOD means more rainfall for the region and prolonged wet MJO phases possible. More floods, landslides and major storms in the area will occur.

Storm

Storm More presence in southeastern China, Myanmar, and Pakistan would make the temperature anomalies lower – only slightly above the long-term average or average. La Nina, the IOD effect and the NAO effect in China make the country suffer from heavy storms and flash floods, storms with hail, gusty winds.

Vietnam

For Vietnam, the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting forecasts hydro-climate trends from May to October 2022. Accordingly, the hot season of 2022 is not likely to be too harsh.

The average annual heat usually starts from mid-April and early May in the North West and North Central regions, then gradually expands to the Northeast and other central regions. It is forecast that this year’s heat in the North and Central regions is likely to appear later than average, with an intensity that is not as intense and lasting as 2020.